Journal of Infection and Public Health
○ Elsevier BV
All preprints, ranked by how well they match Journal of Infection and Public Health's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit. Older preprints may already have been published elsewhere.
Maitra, S.; Biswas, M.; Bhattacharjee, S.
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A novel coronavirus was reported in Wuhan, China in December 2019 to cause severe acute respiratory symptoms (COVID-19). In this meta-analysis, we estimated case fatality rate from COVID-19 infection by random effect meta-analysis model with country level data. Publicly accessible web database WorldOMeter (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/) was accessed on 24th March 2020 GMT and reported total number of cases, total death, active cases and seriously ill/ critically ill patients were retrieved. Primary outcome of this meta-analysis was case fatality rate defined by total number of deaths divided by total number of diagnosed cases. Pooled case fatality rate (95% CI) was 1.78 (1.34-2.22) %. Between country heterogeneity was 0.018 (p<0.0001). Pooled estimate of composite poor outcome (95% CI) was 4.06 (3.24-4.88) % at that point of time after exclusion of countries reported small number of cases. Pooled mortality rate (95% CI) was 33.97 (27.44-40.49) % amongst closed cases (where patients have recovered or died) with. Meta regression analysis identified statistically significant association between health expenditure and case fatality rate (p=0.0017).
Alexander, P. E.; Piticaru, J.; Lewis, K.; Aryal, K.; Thomas, P.; Szczeklik, W.; Fronczek, J.; Polok, K.; Alhazzani, W.; Mammen, M.
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BackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, has led to significant global mortality and morbidity. Until now, no treatment has proven to be effective in COVID-19. To explore whether the use of remdesivir, initially an experimental broad-spectrum antiviral, is effective in the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized, placebo-controlled trials investigating its use. MethodsA rapid search of the MEDLINE and EMBASE medical databases was conducted for randomized controlled trials. A systematic approach was used to screen, abstract, and critically appraise the studies. Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) method was applied to rate the certainty and quality of the evidence reported per study. ResultsTwo RCTs studies were identified (n=1,299). A fixed-effects meta-analysis revealed reductions in mortality (RR=0.69, 0.49 to 0.99), time to clinical improvement (3.95 less days, from 3.86 days less to 4.05 less days), serious adverse events (RR=0.77, 0.63 to 0.94) and all adverse events (RR=0.87, 0.79 to 0.96). ConclusionIn this rapid systematic review, we present pooled evidence from the 2 included RCT studies that reveal that remdesivir has a modest yet significant reduction in mortality and significantly improves the time to recovery, as well as significantly reduced risk in adverse events and serious adverse events. It is more than likely that as an antiviral, remdesivir is not sufficient on its own and may be suitable in combination with other antivirals or treatments such as convalescent plasma. Research is ongoing to clarify and contextual these promising findings.
Faramarzi, H.; Sahebkar, A.; Hosseinpour, A.; Khaloo, V.; Chamanpara, P.; Heydari, M. R.; Najafi, S.; Fotoohi Khankahdany, F.; Movahedpour, A.
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IntroductionDespite an increasing number of studies, there is as yet no efficient antiviral treatment developed for the disease. In this clinical trial, we examined the efficacy of a novel herbal antiviral preparation comprising Zataria multiflora Boiss, Glycyrrhiza glabra, Cinnamomum Vermont, Allium sativuml, and Syzygium aromaticum in critically ill patients with COVID-19 patients. MethodsA total number of 120 ICU-admitted patients requiring pulmonary support with a diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia were recruited to the trial. Participants were equally randomized to receive either the novel antiviral preparation sublingually, for up to two consecutive weeks or till discharge, or normal saline as the matching placebo. Clinical and laboratory parameters as well as survival rates were compared between the two groups at the study end. ResultsThe cumulative incidence of death throughout the study period was 8.33% in the medication group and 60% in the placebo group (risk ratio: 0.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.05 to 0.32; P<0.001). Survival rates were significantly higher in the treatment group. Additionally, on day 7, several laboratory factors including white blood cells (WBCs) count, C-reactive protein (CRP), and SpO2 were improved in patients treated with the novel antiviral preparation compared with the placebo group. ConclusionThe novel antiviral preparation tested in this trial significantly improved the survival rate and reduced mortality in critically ill patients with COVID-19. Thus, this preparation might be suggested as a potentially promising COVID-19 treatment. Funded by Shimi Teb Salamat Co., Shiraz, Iran, and registered on the Iranian registry of clinical trials (registration No. IRCT20200509047373N2).
Ali, S.; Uddin, S. Z.; Dewan, M. N.; Moniruzzaman, M.; Kabir, M. H.; Islam, M. R.; Monir, H.; Hossan, S.; Nafiz, T. N.; Rashid, R.; Imran, K. M.
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BackgroundCorticosteroid has been used to manage inflammation caused by many diseases including respiratory viral infections. Many articles are available to support the good and bad side of this steroid use but remain inconclusive. To find some evidence about the safety of the drug, we investigated the effect of corticosteroids on the mortality of patients with respiratory viral infections including SARS-CoV-2, SARS, MERS, and Influenza. MethodWe searched articles in PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane, Medline, Google Scholar, and Web of Science records using keywords "corticosteroid" or "viral infection" or "patients" or "control study". Mortality was the primary outcome. ResultOur selected 24 studies involving 16633 patients were pooled in our meta-analysis. Corticosteroid use and overall mortality were not significantly associated (P=0.176), but in subgroup analysis, corticosteroid use was significantly associated with lower mortality in the case of SARS (P=0.003) but was not significantly associated with mortality for Influenza (H1N1) (P=0.260) and SARS-CoV-2 (P=0.554). Further analysis using study types of SARS-CoV-2, we found that corticosteroid use was not significantly associated with mortality in the case of retrospective cohort studies (P=0.256) but was significantly associated with lower mortality in the case of randomized control trials (P=0.005). Our findings uncover how the outcome of particular drug treatment for different diseases with comparable pathogenesis may not be similar and, RCTs are sometimes required for robust outcome data. ConclusionAt the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, data of corticosteroid use from other viral infections along with COVID-19 observational and retrospective cohort studies created confusion of its effect, but randomized control trials showed that corticosteroid can be used to treat COVID-19 patients.
Lankrew, T.; Gelaw, B.
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BackgroundThe novel coronavirus disease has led individuals in several medical, psychosocial and economic impacts among the majority of the society such as psychological distress, anxiety, depression, denial, panic, and fear. This pandemic is a disastrous health crisis and becoming a current public health emergency and affects several nations across the world. The widespread of COVID-19 has brought not only the risk of death but also major psychological pressure. The COVID-19 pandemic led individuals to unavoidable psychological distress, anxiety, depression, denial, panic, and fear. The COVID-19 pandemic is a global public health emergency concern, which is severely affected the community and influences the day-to-day life of individuals in Ethiopia. This systematic review used to investigate the pooled estimate on the psychological impact of COVID-19 in Ethiopia. ObjectiveThe main aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis were to provide comprehensive evidence on the psychological impact of COVID-19 in Ethiopia. MethodsThis systematic review and meta-analysis searched through Pub Med, Cochrane Library, Google, Google Scholar, and web of sciences. Data extracted by Microsoft Excel then statistical analyses done using STATA Version 14 software with a random-effects model. The funnel plot checked. The heterogeneity of the studies checked. Subgroup analysis done in relation to the study area and authors names. ResultsA total of 10 studies with 4,215 participants were included in this systematic review and the overall estimated psychological impact of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia was 42.50% (95% CI (31.18%, 53.81%). According to subgroup analysis, the highest estimated status of the psychological impact of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia are 66.40% and 16.20% in Addis Ababa and Amhara regions respectively. ConclusionThis systematic review revealed that the psychological impact of coronavirus disease in Ethiopia is 42.50%. Multiple education and training and adequate personal protective equipment supplies focusing on the psychological impact of COVID-19 should be avail properly for the community in Ethiopia.
Li, Y.; He, W.
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The rapid spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has greatly disrupted the livelihood of many people around the world. To date, more than 35.16 million COVID-19 cases with 1.037million total deaths have been reported worldwide. Compared with China, where the disease was first reported, cases of COVID-19, the number of confirmed cases for the disease in the rest of the world have been incredibly high. Even though several dugs have been suggested to be used against the disease, the said interventions should be backed by empirical clinical evidence. Therefore, this paper provides a systematic review and a meta-analysis of efficacy and safety of different COVID-19 drugs. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSCurrently, Covid-19 is one of the most urgent and significant health challenge, globally. However, so far there is no specific and effective treatment strategy against the disease. Nonetheless, there are numerous debates over the effectiveness and potential adverse effects of different COVID-19 antivirals. In general, there is invaluable need to continually report on new advances and successes against COVID-19, apparently to aid in managing the pandemic. Added value of this studyThis study provides a comprehensive, evidence-based guide on the management of multiple COVID-19 symptoms. In particular, we provide a review of 14 drugs, placebos and standard treatments against COVID 19. Meanwhile, we also performed a meta-analysis based on four clinical outcome indicators, to measure and compare the efficacy and safety of current interventions. Implications of all the available evidenceFindings of this research will guide clinical decision in COVID-19 patients. It will also provide a basis for predicting clinical outcomes such as efficacy, mortality and safety of interventions against the disease.
Ji, W.; Zhang, J.; Bishnu, G.; Du, X.; Chen, X.; Xu, H.; Guo, X.; Cai, Z.; Shen, X.
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ObjectiveTo compare the difference between severe and non-severe COVID-19 pneumonia and figure out the potential symptoms lead to severity. MethodsArticles from PubMed, Embase, Cochrane database, and google up-to 24 February 2020 were systematically reviewed. Eighteen Literatures were identified with cases of COVID-19 pneumonia. The extracted data includes clinical symptoms, age, gender, sample size and region et al were systematic reviewed and meta analyzed. Results14 eligible studies including 1,424 patients were analyzed. Symptoms like fever (89.2%), cough (67.2%), fatigue (43.6%) were common, dizziness, hemoptysis, abdominal pain and conjunctival congestion/conjunctivitis were rare. Polypnea/dyspnea in severe patients were significantly higher than non-severe (42.7% vs.16.3%, P<0.0001). Fever and diarrhea were higher in severe patients(p=0.0374and0.0267). Further meta-analysis showed incidence of fever(OR1.70,95%CI 1.01-2.87), polypnea/dyspnea(OR3.53, 95%CI 1.95-6.38) and diarrhea(OR1.80,95%CI 1.06-3.03) was higher in severe patients, which meant the severe risk of patients with fever, polypnea/dyspnea, diarrhea were 1.70, 3.53, 1.80 times higher than those with no corresponding symptoms. ConclusionsFever, cough and fatigue are common symptoms in COVID-19 pneumonia. Compared with non-severe patients, the symptoms as fever, polypnea/dyspnea and diarrhea are potential symptoms lead to severity.
Kapoor, K. M.; Kapoor, A.
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BackgroundCoronavirus pandemic is currently a global public health emergency. At present, no pharmacological treatment is known to treat this condition, and there is a need to review the available treatments. ObjectiveWhile there have been studies to describe the role of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine in various viral conditions, there is limited information about the use of them in COVID-19. This systematic review aims to summarize the available evidence regarding the role of chloroquine in treating coronavirus infection. MethodsThe preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were used for this review. A literature search was performed using PUBMED & Google Scholar to find articles about the role of CQ in COVID-19 patients. ResultsWe included 19 publications (Five published articles, three letters/correspondence, one commentary, five pre-proofs of accepted articles, one abstract of yet to be published article, and four were pre-prints (not yet peer-reviewed) articles) in this systematic review. All the articles mentioned about the role of chloroquine and /or hydroxychloroquine in limiting the infection with SARS-CoV-2 (the virus causing COVID-19). ConclusionsThere is theoretical, experimental, preclinical and clinical evidence of the effectiveness of chloroquine in patients affected with COVID-19. There is adequate evidence of drug safety from the long-time clinical use of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine in other indications. More data from ongoing and future trials will add more insight into the role of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine in COVID-19 infection.
rajabinejad, m.; Asgarian-Omran, H.
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The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has highlighted Sex-related immune responses. In this review, gender differences in seroprevalence, severity, mortality, and recovery in the Iranian population were systematically compared to the COVID-19 global pattern. This compressive meta-analysis was conducted on studies published up to April 1, 2021, examining seroprevalence in the general population as well as disease outcomes in hospitalized patients. Data were analyzed based on gender to determine differences between men and women in COVID-19. The PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, WOS, medRxiv, and bioRxiv were searched. The odds ratio (OR) was calculated based on the random-effects model, with a corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI), according to the number of participants reported in papers. Subgroup analyses were performed according to the age, antibody isotype, and detection assay. Overall, 61 studies with 225799 males and 237017 females were eligible for meta-analysis. Seroprevalence was 1.13 times higher (95% CI: 1.03, 1.24), mortality was 1.45 times higher (95% CI: 1.19, 1.77), and severity was up to 1.37 times higher (95% CI: 1.13, 1.67) in males than those of females in the general population across the globe. Mortality was higher in Iranian patients up to 26% in men (95% CI: 1.20, 1.33), but no significant difference was observed between disease severity and serum prevalence between men and women. Besides, the rate of recovery was 29% (global pattern) and 21% (Iran pattern) lower in males than in females. The results of subgroup analyses for seroprevalence were not significant for the age, antibody isotype, and detection methods. The results of our meta-analyses showed that the patient mortality and recovery patterns are similar in Iran and other countries in the context of gender differences, and the disease is more fatal in men.
Ravindra, K.; Malik, V. S.; Padhi, B. K.; Goel, S.; Gupta, M.
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ObjectiveWorldwide countries are experiencing viral load in their population, leading to potential infectivity of asymptomatic COVID-19. Current systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the role of asymptomatic infection worldwide reported in family-cluster, adults, children, health care workers, and travelers. DesignOnline literature search (PubMed, Google Scholar, medRixv, and BioRixv) was accomplished using standard Boolean operators, studies published till 07th June 2020. SettingStudies were included from case reports, short communication, and retrospective to cover sufficient asymptomatic COVID-19 transmission reported. ParticipantsFamilial-clusters, adults, children, health care workers, and travelers. ResultsWe observed asymptomatic transmission among familial-cluster, adults, children, health care workers, and travelers with a proportion of 32% 37%, 26%, 6%, and 32%, respectively. This study observed an overall proportion of 31% (95%CI: 0.19-0.44) with heterogeneity of I2 (97.28%, p=<0.001) among all asymptomatic populations mentioned in this study. Among children and healthcare workers, this study showed no heterogeneity; to overcome the interpretation from a fixed model, the random effect model was also applied to estimate the average distribution across studies included in the meta-analysis. ConclusionWe found and suggest the rigorous epidemiological history, early isolation, social distancing, and increased quarantine period (at least 28 days) after screening asymptomatic cases as well as their close contacts for chest CT scan even after their negative nucleic acid testing to minimize the spread among the community. This systematic review and meta-analysis support asymptomatic COVID-19 transmission between person to person depending on the variation of virus incubation period among individuals. Children especially, school-going aged <18 years, need to be monitored and prevention strategy, e.g., chest CT and social distancing required to prevent the community transmission of COVID-19 in asymptomatic mode. Strengths and limitations of this studyO_LIExamine the possibility of asymptomatic COVID-19 transmission in the community at different levels. C_LIO_LISupports contact tracing, social distancing, early isolation, and increased quarantine period to minimize the risk of virus spread. C_LIO_LISupports chest CT scan and viral nucleic acid testing to identify the asymptomatic cases in the community. C_LIO_LISupports rigorous epidemiological history with multiple detection methods. C_LIO_LIA higher proportion of asymptomatic incidence was seen, suggests monitoring, and maintaining social distancing. C_LI
MUSHEBENGE, A. G.-A.; Ugbaja, S. C.; Mbatha, N. A.; Riziki, M. G.; Muzumbukilwa, T. W.; Kadima, M. G.; Nlooto, M. Z.; Kumalo, H. M.
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BackgroundWith the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), there has been a surge in the pursuit of potential therapeutic interventions for this deadly disease. Given the urgency of the situation, computational drug repurposing methods have emerged as a promising strategy for identifying effective treatments from a pool of approved drugs. This systematic review and meta-analaysis will assess the existing research on the use of computational approaches for drug repurposing in the context of COVID-19. SARS-CoV-2 Main Protease is a critical enzyme that plays a vital role in the replication cycle of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, and its inhibition is a promising strategy for the development of antiviral therapies. Methods/DesignDifferent databases (PubMed, Cochrane Library, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), MEDLINE via EBSCOhost, Google Scholar, and WILEY online Library) will be utilized to identify and incorporate primary research articles in English and French that employed computational methodologies for drug repurposing in the context of COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2 Main protease inhibition published between March 2020 to May 2023. According to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA-ScR), we will undertake a comprehensive search of relevant studies. Authors will also search peer-reviewed articles, grey literature sources, and reference lists to identify eligible studies. Title screening will be followed by independent abstract and full-text screening by two reviewers. Any study that focuses on the inhibition of the Mpro using computer aided methods will be included. The analysis of data will be carried out by utilizing two software tools - Review Manager software (version 5.3.5) and R software (version 3.6.1). To determine statistical heterogeneity, a standard chi-square test will be applied with a significance level of P < 0.10. Potential biases related to study size (such as publication bias) will be examined through the application of several techniques, including funnel plots, Eggers test, Beggs test, as well as Trim and Fill analysis. DiscussionThis study will provide evidence-based information and conduct a comprehensive analysis of the computer-aided drug discovery and repurposing of the SARS-CoV-2 Main protease inhibitors, thereby producing a high-quality synthesis of information. The study will also explore potential innovative therapeutic applications for preventing or treating the novel viral infection by the inhibition of the Main Protease. In addition, the review will highlight research gaps in the treatment of COVID-19 and provide suggestions for future research. The outcomes of this review will be shared through a peer-reviewed publication and presented at relevant conferences while ensuring proper dissemination to reach a wide audience. Systematic review registration: CRD42023409682(https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.asp?ID=CRD42023409682)
WANG, Y.; Liang, S.; Qiu, T.; HAN, R.; Dabbous, M.; Nowotarska, A.; Toumi, M.
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PurposeThis study aims to critically assess the published studies of Chloroquine (CQ) and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) for the treatment of COVID-19 and provide recommendations for future clinical trials for the COVID-19 pandemic. MethodA rapid systematic review was conducted by searching the PubMed, Embase, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases on April 13, 2020. Three clinical trial registry platforms, including ClinicalTrials.gov, the EU Clinical Trials Register, and the Chinese Clinical Trial Register were also complementarily searched. ResultsA total of 10 clinical studies were identified, including 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs), 1 comparative nonrandomized trial, 5 single-arm trials, and 1 interim analysis. The heterogeneity among studies of the baseline disease severity and reported endpoints made a pooled analysis impossible. CQ and HCQ (with or without azithromycin) showed significant therapeutic benefit in terms of virologic clearance rate, improvement in symptoms and imaging findings, time to clinical recovery, and length of hospital stay in 1 RCT, 4 single-arm trials, and the interim analysis, whereas no treatment benefit of CQ or HCQ was observed in the remaining 4 studies. Limitations of the included studies ranged from small sample size, to insufficient information concerning baseline patient characteristics, to potential for selection bias without detailing the rationale for exclusion, and presence of confounding factors. ConclusionBased on the studies evaluated, there still lacked solid evidence supporting the efficacy and safety of HCQ and CQ as a treatment for COVID-19 with or without azithromycin. This emphasized the importance of robust RCTs investing HCQ/CQ to address the evidence uncertainties.
Nasir, M.; Perveen, R. A.; Nazneen, R.; Zahan, T.; Ahmad, S. N.; Chowdhury, A. S.
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BackgroundThe study aimed to analyze the demographic, comorbidities, biomarkers, pharmacotherapy, and ICU-stay with the mortality outcome of COVID-19 patients admitted in the intensive care unit of a tertiary care hospital in a low-middle income country, Bangladesh. MethodsThe retrospective cohort study was done in Holy Family Red Crescent Medical College Hospital from May to September 2020. All 112 patients who were admitted to ICU as COVID-19 cases (confirmed by RT-PCR of the nasopharyngeal swab) were included in the study. Demographic data, laboratory reports of predictive biomarkers, treatment schedule, and duration of ICU-stay of 99 patients were available and obtained from hospital records (non-electronic) and treatment sheets, and compared between the survived and deceased patients. ResultsOut of 99 patients admitted in ICU with COVID-19, 72 were male and 27 were female. The mean age was 61.08 years. Most of the ICU patients were in the 60 - 69 years of age group and the highest mortality rates (35.89%) were observed in this age range. Diabetes mellitus and hypertension were the predominant comorbidities in the deceased group of patients. A significant difference was observed in neutrophil count, creatinine and, NLR, d-NLR levels that raised in deceased patients. There was no significant difference as a survival outcome of antiviral drugs remdesivir or favipiravir, while the use of cephalosporin was found much higher in the survived group than the deceased group (46.66% vs 20.51%) in ICU. ConclusionsSusceptibility to developing critical illness due to COVID-19 was found more in comorbid males aged more than 60 years. There were wide variations of the biomarkers in critical COVID-19 patients in a different population, which put the healthcare workers into far more challenge to minimize the mortality in ICU in Bangladesh and around the globe during the peak of the pandemic.
Carboni Bisso, I.; Prado, E.; Cantos, J.; Masso, A.; Staneloni, I.; San Roman, E.; Huespe, I.; Las Heras, M.
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IntroductionInfluenza virus infection is a latent public health problem, affecting millions of people through the planet, and it is an important cause of morbidity and mortality. In Argentina, there is a significant absence of data regarding influenza severe respiratory disease and, therefore, a lack of knowledge about the impact of this disease at health institutions. ObjectivesAnalysis of clinical characteristics, image findings and laboratory variables in patients with influenza viruses during 2019. MethodsRetrospective, single-centre study, we analyzed all confirmed cases of influenza in a high complexity hospital from Buenos Aires. Results143 patients with influenza virus were hospitalized in this period of time. The 98.6% were infected by type A influenza, and most of them 61.5% were H1N1 subtype. Median age was 71 years (IQR 60 - 82), 77.6% were older than 70 years, and 88.1% had at least one coexisting illness. 39.1% of the patients required intensive care, 11.1% invasive mechanical ventilation and 4.1% died during hospitalization. ConclusionMortality and severity were similar to previous series of non-pandemic influenza. Analysis of annual data would be valuable in order to document the severity of influenza hospitalizations by ageJgroup and comorbidities according to the circulating influenza viruses.
Liu, Y.; Sun, W.; Chen, L.; Wang, Y.; Zhang, L.; Yu, L.
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BackgroundThe outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) results in a cluster of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We reported the clinical characteristics of COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and further investigated the treatment and progression of ARDS in COVID-19. MethodsThis study enrolled 109 patients with COVID-19 admitted to the Central Hospital of Wuhan, a designated hospital in Wuhan, China, from January 2 to February 1, 2020. Patients were followed up to February 12, 2020. The clinical data were collected from the electronic medical records. The differences in the treatment and progression with the time and the severity of ARDS were determined. FindingsAmong 109 patients, mean age was 55 years, and 59 patients were male. With a median 15 days (range, 4 to 30 days) follow-up period, 31 patients (28.4%) died, while 78 (71.6%) survived and discharged. Of all patients, 53 (48.6%) developed ARDS. Compared to non-ARDS patients, ARDS patients were elder (mean age, 61 years vs. 49 years), and more likely to have the coexistent conditions, including diabetes (20.8% vs. 1.8%), cerebrovascular disease (11.3% vs. 0%), and chronic kidney disease (15.1% vs. 3.6%). Compared to mild ARDS patients, those with moderate and severe ARDS had higher mortality rates. No significant effect of antivirus, glucocorticoid, or immunoglobulin treatment on survival was observed in patients with ARDS. InterpretationThe mortality rate increased with the severity of ARDS in COVID-19, and the effects of current therapies on the survival for these patients were not satisfactory, which needs more attention from clinicians. FundingHealth and Family Planning Commission of Wuhan Municipality.
Nandan, A.; Tiwari, S.; Sharma, V.
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BackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is caused by coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Symptoms include fever, cough, shortness of breath, muscle pain, pneumonia, and multiorgan failure. The infection spreads from one person to another via respiratory droplets. Alternative medicine (AMs) viz., Ayurveda, Homeopathy, Unani, and Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), are being promoted for the prevention of COVID-19. The aim of this systematic scoping review was to identify and summarize the scientific evidences promoting the use of AMs for the prevention of COVID-19. MethodsA comprehensive search of electronic search engines (PubMed and Web of Science) was performed. In addition, freewheeling searches of the government health ministries and government websites was done to retrieve the available information. Records available until 12th March 2020 were considered. Reports proposing the use of AMs for prevention or treatment of COVID-19 across all countries were included. Screening (primary and secondary) of the records and data extraction from the eligible studies were done by a single reviewer followed by a random quality check (10%) by the second reviewer. ResultsOverall, 8 records (7 from China and 1 from India) exploring the use of AMs for the prevention or treatment of COVID-19 were identified. Different medicines were explored by different AM systems. ConclusionsSeveral AMs options are proposed for the prevention or treatment of COVID-19. However, their efficacy and safety still needs scientific validation through rigorous randomized controlled trials. This review may help inform decisions about the importance of research and development of AMs for COVID-19 prevention and treatment.
Manoharan, S.; Ying, L. Y.
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BackgroundDue to high heterogeneity and risk of bias (RoB) in previously published meta-analysis, a concrete conclusion on the efficacy of baricitinib in reducing mortality in COVID-19 patients was unable to form. MethodsSearch engines PubMed/MEDLINE, ScienceDirect and other sources like preprints and reference lists were searched with appropriate keywords. The included evidence was graded with GRADEpro. The RoB, heterogeneity and meta-analysis were studied through RevMan 5.4.1 software. The heterogeneity was evaluated based on the generated p-value or I{superscript 2} test. ResultsEight (8) RCTs were included in current analysis. Five studies had low RoB. Based on grading the evidence, the inclusion and exclusion of high RoB articles led to moderate and high certainty of evidence, respectively. Based on 8 RCTs (with high RoB), baricitinib statistically significantly reduced mortality where the risk ratio (RR) = 0.84 [95% CI: 0.76 to 0.92; p = 0.0002; I2 = 23%; p = 0.25]. The heterogeneity was insignificant but the RoB was high. We did subgroup analysis of low and high RoB articles and found out baricitinib statistically significantly reduced mortality with the RR = 0.68 [95% CI: 0.56 to 0.82; p < 0.0001; I2 = 0%; p = 0.85] and RR = 0.89 [95% CI: 0.80 to 0.99; p = 0.04; I2 = 0%; p = 0.43], respectively. The heterogeneity was 0% with insignificant p-values in both subgroup analyses. The percentage of mortality reduction was 31.31% and 7.79%, respectively whereas it was 13.95% in main group analysis. ConclusionWith the presence of optimal sample size of 3944 from 5 low RoB studies which represents a minimum of 300 million population of people and with 0% of heterogeneity, the effectiveness of baricitinib in reducing the mortality in COVID-19 patients is concretely proven.
Khan, S.; Mishra, P.; Parveen, R.; Bajpai, R.; Khan, M. A.; Agarwal, N. B.
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PurposeLiterature suggests association of inflammatory markers with the severity and mortality related to COVID-19, but there are varying conclusions available. We aimed to provide an overview of the association of inflammatory markers with the severity and mortality of COVID-19 patients. MethodsWe searched Medline (via PubMed), Cochrane, Clinicaltrials.gov databases until Sept 1, 2020. ResultsA total of 21 studies comprising 4023 patients with COVID-19 were included in our analysis. Levels of IL-6 (WMD=18.17 95%CI 3.38 to 32.96, p=0.016), IL-8 (WMD=12.09 95%CI 4.41 to 19.77, p=0.002), MCP-1 (WMD=146.66 95%CI 88.16 to 205.16, p<0.001), CRP (WMD=31.09 95%CI 10.08 to 52.10, p=0.004), PCT (WMD= -31.23 95%CI -37.70 to -24.76, p<0.001), IL-2R (WMD=861.93 95%CI 275.45 to 1448.41, p=0.004), ferritin (WMD= 1083.34 95%CI 431.99 to 1734.70, p=0.001) were found significantly higher in the severe group compared with the non-severe group of COVID-19 patients. Moreover, non-survivors had a higher levels of IL-2R (WMD= -666.06 95%CI -782.54 to -549.59, p<0.001), IL-8 (WMD= -26.63 95%CI -33.031 to -20.236, p<0.001), IL-10 (WMD= -7.60 95%CI -8.93 to -6.26, p<0.001), TNF- (WMD= -4.60 95%CI -5.71 to -3.48, p<0.001), IL-1{beta} (WMD=22.66 95%CI 8.13 to 37.19, p=0.002), CRP (WMD= -96.40 95%CI -117.84 to -74.97, p<0.001), and ferritin (WMD= -937.60 95%CI -1084.15 to -791.065, p<0.001) when compared to the non-survivor group. ConclusionThis meta-analysis highlights the association of inflammatory markers with the severity and mortality of COVID-19 patients. Measurement of these inflammatory markers may assist clinicians to monitor and evaluate the severity and prognosis of COVID-19 thereby reducing the mortality rate.
Aponte Torres, Z.; Lopez-Leon, S.; Muthuvel, T.; Manivannan, S.; Srivastava, K.; Pavesi, M.
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ObjectiveTo systematically review the safety and efficacy outcomes of using antivirals for the treatment of COVID-19. MethodsFive databases were screened from inception to 27-Aug-2020. The effects of specific drug interventions on safety and efficacy were assessed in COVID-19 patients. Risk Ratios (RRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled using random-effects models. ResultsA total of 10 studies were identified which fulfill the inclusion criteria. Patients taking antivirals had 26% less risk of having a severe adverse event (SAE) compared to controls (RR, 0.74, CI:0.62 to 0.89, P=0.002). Clinical improvement at day 14 was observed among the cases treated with antivirals compared to the control group (RR 1.24, CI: 1.00 to 1.53 p=0.05). ConclusionThere is evidence that Remdesivir and LPV/r reduces the hospital length of stay and that patients to which antivirals were administered had less SAE and improvement when compared to patients not prescribed with antivirals. Due to a lack of power and the quality of the studies, it was not possible to determine which antivirals have a greater risk-benefit balance, and therefore the optimal approach to antiviral treatment is still uncertain.
Yamaji, N.; Ohde, S.; Kobayashi-Cuya, K. E.; Saito, S.; Takahashi, O.
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BackgroundAs of May 2 2020, 3,267,184 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 229,971 COVID-19-caused deaths have been reported worldwide. Currently, there is limited clarity on the pharmacological treatments available for the novel coronavirus. We systematically identified the current evidence and ongoing research on the pharmacological treatments for COVID-19. MethodsWe conducted a scoping review using PRISMA-ScR. Observational studies, including cohort studies and case series, as well as experimental studies, including randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs were searched electronically on April 7, 2020 and by hand on May 1, 2020. PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane library databases were searched along with seven trial registries. The inclusion criteria were patients with confirmed COVID-19 who received pharmacological therapies, including hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine, lopinavir/ritonavir, remdesivir, tocilizumab, and favipiravir. ResultsWe identified 222 studies on pharmacological treatment of the novel coronavirus. We included 11 of these studies in this review, including the ones on hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine (one cohort), lopinavir/ritonavir (one RCT, three cohorts, and two case series), remdesivir (one RCT and one case series), tocilizumab (one case series), and favipiravir (one RCT). In the three RCTs carried out in China, both lopinavir/ritonavir and remdesivir did not show any significant earlier clinical improvement in case of severe infection [Hazard ratio (HR): 1.31, p=0.09 and HR: 1.24, p=0.24, respectively], The clinical recovery rate on day seven was not significantly different between the favipiravir and arbidol groups (p=0.14) for moderate patients, although the duration of pyrexia and cough in the favipiravir group was significantly shorter as compared to the arbidol group (p<0.01). There are 135 ongoing RCTs, including 72 for hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine, 29 for lopinavir/ritonavir, 14 for remdesivir, 16 for tocilizumab, and 4 for favipiravir. ConclusionThe clinical effectiveness and safety of these drugs for the treatment of COVID-19 remains unclear owing to the lack of large, high-quality RCTs. However, in the event of emerging infectious diseases, we need to repeatedly and systematically update the best available evidence to avoid misleading information.